Tivic Health Systems Stock Performance

TIVC Stock  USD 1.03  0.07  6.36%   
The entity has a beta of 2.13, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Tivic Health will likely underperform. At this point, Tivic Health Systems has a negative expected return of -1.01%. Please make sure to validate Tivic Health's kurtosis, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and standard deviation , to decide if Tivic Health Systems performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Tivic Health Systems has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:17
Last Split Date
2025-03-07
1
Tivic Secures Barda Meeting for Entolimod for Acute Radiation Syndrome
11/18/2025
2
Tivic Health Systems Stock Price, News Analysis - MarketBeat
12/03/2025
3
Tivic Acquires Ready-to-Scale cGMP Manufacturing and Development Assets to Accelerate Commercialization of Entolimod Tivic Growth Backed By 90M Financing Packag...
12/11/2025
4
Tivic Health Systems Earnings Notes - Trefis
12/15/2025
5
Can Tivic Health Systems Inc. stock continue upward trend - July 2025 Momentum Community Driven Trade Alerts -
12/19/2025
6
Tivic Health Systems, Inc. - Common stock NQ TIVC - FinancialContent
01/07/2026
7
Tivic Delivers 200x Scale-up in Manufacturing for Lead Drug Candidate Entolimod And Achieves Reproducible Yields, Potency and Purity
01/12/2026
8
Presenting on Emerging Growth Conference 89 Day 2 on January 22 Register to live stream
01/21/2026
9
Tivic, BARDA Discuss Entolimod for Acute Radiation Syndrome at TechWatch Meeting
01/28/2026
10
Analyzing Enovis and Tivic Health Systems
02/03/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow3.4 M
Free Cash Flow-5.7 M

Tivic Health Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  224.00  in Tivic Health Systems on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (121.00) from holding Tivic Health Systems or give up 54.02% of portfolio value over 90 days. Tivic Health Systems is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 7.428% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 66% of stocks are less volatile than Tivic, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Tivic Health is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 9.89 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.14 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

Tivic Health Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Tivic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.03 90 days 1.03 
over 95.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tivic Health to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.3 (This Tivic Health Systems probability density function shows the probability of Tivic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.13 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Tivic Health will likely underperform. Additionally Tivic Health Systems has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Tivic Health Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tivic Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tivic Health Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tivic Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.908.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.998.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.978.39
Details

Tivic Health Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tivic Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tivic Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tivic Health Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tivic Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Tivic Health Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tivic Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tivic Health Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tivic Health Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Tivic Health Systems has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Tivic Health Systems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Tivic Health Systems has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 780 K. Net Loss for the year was (5.66 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (280 K).
Tivic Health Systems currently holds about 9.06 M in cash with (5.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.94.
Tivic Health Systems has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Analyzing Enovis and Tivic Health Systems

Tivic Health Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tivic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tivic Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tivic Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding287.4 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM
Shares Float1.7 M

Tivic Health Fundamentals Growth

Tivic Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Tivic Health, and Tivic Health fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Tivic Stock performance.

About Tivic Health Performance

By analyzing Tivic Health's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Tivic Health's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Tivic Health has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Tivic Health has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 134.69  148.13 
Return On Tangible Assets(2.32)(2.43)
Return On Capital Employed(2.01)(2.11)
Return On Assets(2.32)(2.43)
Return On Equity(2.57)(2.44)

Things to note about Tivic Health Systems performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tivic Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Tivic Health Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tivic Health Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Tivic Health Systems has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Tivic Health Systems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Tivic Health Systems has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 780 K. Net Loss for the year was (5.66 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (280 K).
Tivic Health Systems currently holds about 9.06 M in cash with (5.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.94.
Tivic Health Systems has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Analyzing Enovis and Tivic Health Systems
Evaluating Tivic Health's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Tivic Health's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Tivic Health's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Tivic Health's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Tivic Health's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Tivic Health's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Tivic Health's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Tivic Health's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Tivic Health's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Tivic Health's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Tivic Health's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Tivic Stock analysis

When running Tivic Health's price analysis, check to measure Tivic Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tivic Health is operating at the current time. Most of Tivic Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tivic Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tivic Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tivic Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios